My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained.

Quote by Herman Kahn

Topics: Herman Kahn Quotes

World War I broke out largely because of an arms race, and World War II...

World War I broke out largely because of an arms race, and World War II...

I'm against fashionable thinking.

I'm against fashionable thinking.

Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as...

Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as...

Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral...

Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral...

From a scientific perspective there is some indication that a nuclear war could deplete the...

From a scientific perspective there is some indication that a nuclear war could deplete the...

In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of...

In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of...

Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as...

Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as...

Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject,...

Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject,...

Hopefully, nations will refuse to accept a situation in which nuclear accidents actually do occur,...

Hopefully, nations will refuse to accept a situation in which nuclear accidents actually do occur,...

Because of new technologies, new wealth, new conditions of domestic life and of international relations,...

Because of new technologies, new wealth, new conditions of domestic life and of international relations,...

The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases...

The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases...

It is immoral from almost any point of view to refuse to defend yourself and...

It is immoral from almost any point of view to refuse to defend yourself and...

A surprising number of government committees will make important decisions on fundamental matters with less...

A surprising number of government committees will make important decisions on fundamental matters with less...

I'm against sloppy, emotional thinking.

I'm against sloppy, emotional thinking.

I am against the whole cliche of the moment.

I am against the whole cliche of the moment.

A healthy and fully functioning society must allocate its resources among a variety of competing...

A healthy and fully functioning society must allocate its resources among a variety of competing...

I'm against ignorance.

I'm against ignorance.

New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that...

New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that...

There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition,...

There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition,...

For if enough people were really convinced that growth should be halted, and if they...

For if enough people were really convinced that growth should be halted, and if they...