My guess is that nuclear weapons will be used sometime in the next hundred years, but that their use is much more likely to be small and limited than widespread and unconstrained.

Quote by Herman Kahn

Topics: Herman Kahn Quotes

I am against the whole cliche of the moment.

I am against the whole cliche of the moment.

Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as...

Nuclear war is such an emotional subject that many people see the weapons themselves as...

There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition,...

There was no race - but to the extent that there was an arms competition,...

Deterrence itself is not a preeminent value; the primary values are safety and morality.

Deterrence itself is not a preeminent value; the primary values are safety and morality.

In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of...

In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of...

Projecting a persuasive image of a desirable and practical future is extremely important to high...

Projecting a persuasive image of a desirable and practical future is extremely important to high...

To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of...

To the extent that these advanced weapons or their components are treated as articles of...

A surprising number of government committees will make important decisions on fundamental matters with less...

A surprising number of government committees will make important decisions on fundamental matters with less...

Hopefully, nations will refuse to accept a situation in which nuclear accidents actually do occur,...

Hopefully, nations will refuse to accept a situation in which nuclear accidents actually do occur,...

It is immoral from almost any point of view to refuse to defend yourself and...

It is immoral from almost any point of view to refuse to defend yourself and...

In a world which is armed to its teeth with nuclear weapons, every quarrel or...

In a world which is armed to its teeth with nuclear weapons, every quarrel or...

Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as...

Only those who are ideologically opposed to military programs think of the defense budget as...

Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject,...

Many people believe that the current system must inevitably end in total annihilation. They reject,...

Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral...

Nuclear weapons are intrinsically neither moral nor immoral, though they are more prone to immoral...

A total nuclear freeze is counterproductive - especially now, when technology is rapidly changing and...

A total nuclear freeze is counterproductive - especially now, when technology is rapidly changing and...

I'm against ignorance.

I'm against ignorance.

For some years I have spent my time on exactly these questions - both in...

For some years I have spent my time on exactly these questions - both in...

New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that...

New developments in weapon systems during the 1950s and early 1960s created a situation that...

From a scientific perspective there is some indication that a nuclear war could deplete the...

From a scientific perspective there is some indication that a nuclear war could deplete the...

The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases...

The widespread diffusion of nuclear weapons would make many nations able, and in some cases...